UFC · resolved market
Chandler vs. Edwards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5625f00d8f13a3a445536e6d7008f81e8370672616e52f7501da24daab1ef61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edwardsof Chandler, Edwards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Chandler | 1c | 2,772$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Edwards | 73c | 2,049$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Edwards | 72c | 1,896$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chandler | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Chandler | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Chandler | 27c | 1,173$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Edwards | 73c | 1,154$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Chandler | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Edwards | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Chandler | 26c | 512.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Chandler | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…c74bbacked Edwards | 73c | 321.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Edwards | 72c | 314.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Chandler | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Edwards | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Chandler | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Edwards | 70c | 153.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Chandler | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Chandler | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…49e0backed Chandler | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Edwards | 73c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Edwards | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Chandler | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…e2e7backed Edwards | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Edwards | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Chandler | 25c | 47.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chandler | 27c | 43.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Chandler | 26c | 42.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Edwards | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Edwards | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chandler vs. Edwardsthis page
- Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
- Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
- Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
- Brown vs. DalbyBrown won
- Chikadze vs. Onama Onama won
- Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry won
- Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov won
- Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
- Smith vs. Mingyang Mingyang won
- Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.