NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x981705c1344299688a06d026a0e8c3c0cea1b943dc81e0b2b8c0dc630d20b2f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Nets, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $939,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $918,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Celtics | 75c | 168,503$127,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,446.61 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 26c | 53,220$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,698.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nets | 12c | 45,571$5,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,468.55 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Celtics | 79c | 44,923$35,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,544.13 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Celtics | 73c | 30,244$22,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,165.84 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Nets | 12c | 29,589$3,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.34 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Nets | 24c | 29,425$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.06 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Nets | 13c | 23,250$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.47 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nets | 1c | 22,532$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets | 11c | 20,203$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.37 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nets | 14c | 19,011$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.74 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Nets | 12c | 18,557$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.65 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nets | 22c | 14,981$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.68 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nets | 24c | 11,302$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.07 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets | 30c | 10,309$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.04 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Celtics | 68c | 7,715$5,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.22 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 77c | 7,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Nets | 14c | 6,304$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.29 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Nets | 6c | 5,717$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nets | 12c | 5,519$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.26 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nets | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 19c | 4,648$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.26 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets | 13c | 4,146$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nets | 14c | 3,932$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nets | 14c | 3,927$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.55 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Nets | 12c | 3,909$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nets | 24c | 3,171$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.46 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 73c | 3,159$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.63 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 24c | 3,111$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Nets | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nets | 18c | 3,005$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.87 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nets | 29c | 2,759$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nets | 13c | 2,700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Nets | 12c | 2,656$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Celtics | 80c | 2,619$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 1c | 2,555$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 12c | 2,500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nets | 11c | 2,417$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nets | 5c | 2,100$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nets | 13c | 2,088$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Nets | 12c | 1,983$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nets | 2c | 1,845$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nets | 16c | 1,770$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Nets | 9c | 1,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…4e9bbacked Nets | 12c | 1,735$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 1c | 1,666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…c0a4backed Nets | 12c | 1,625$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Nets | 3c | 1,520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets | 12c | 1,501$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Nets | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nets | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Nets | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Nets | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets | 18c | 1,297$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.27 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Nets | 16c | 1,270$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Celtics | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nets | 16c | 1,111$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 14c | 1,102$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nets | 13c | 1,061$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nets | 28c | 1,050$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.7 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nets | 12c | 1,022$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Celtics | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nets | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Nets | 2c | 976.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Celtics | 76c | 976.19$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 11c | 850$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Nets | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Nets | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Nets | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nets | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nets | 13c | 791.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Nets | 11c | 780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Nets | 13c | 775.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nets | 5c | 755$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nets | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nets | 16c | 727.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nets | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Celtics | 72c | 703.7$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nets | 13c | 676.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nets | 21c | 676.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nets | 19c | 670.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 19c | 654.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Nets | 14c | 625.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Nets | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nets | 21c | 561.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0766…3e65backed Celtics | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nets | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Nets | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Nets | 20c | 483.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nets | 27c | 479.37$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Nets | 10c | 462.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Nets | 13c | 455.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.