Premier League · resolved market
Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe0c13014618ad30d85779fdf9dc4dc25e9cf4f300c0981f0322b70cee1aee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 77c | 1,889$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 77c | 1,023$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 26c | 851.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 35c | 678$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 27c | 618.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 34c | 589.81$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.54 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 24c | 584.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 33c | 535.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.62 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 78c | 520$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…f38ebacked Yes | 35c | 429.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 43c | 395.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 25c | 361.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 76c | 321.04$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8637backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 78c | 290.75$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 22c | 265.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…681abacked No | 75c | 261$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…41aabacked No | 80c | 201$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…7d95backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8dddbacked Yes | 52c | 193.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…0fb7backed Yes | 26c | 192.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…fd30backed Yes | 27c | 182.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…8aa7backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…a395backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…8d1cbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…95c0backed Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…3ec8backed No | 48c | 139.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked No | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 67c | 117.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253c…aa25backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…cdb7backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b84bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 30c | 88.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 42c | 65.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…11dcbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…d6eabacked Yes | 20c | 59.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…9b39backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa964…9e2ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…cff3backed Yes | 64c | 46.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…7723backed Yes | 32c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…fd28backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked No | 58c | 30.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…d0e6backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…ae75backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…0381backed No | 72c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…5159backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…1de8backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…0f8ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…b401backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…6a73backed Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player be Euro 2024 top scorer?this page
- Will Alvaro Morata be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Antoine Griezmann be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Florian Wirtz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Harry Kane be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jamal Musiala be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kai Havertz be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Phil Foden be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
- Will Romelu Lukaku be Euro 2024 top scorer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.