TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Kylian Mbappe be Euro 2024 top scorer?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,583 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f9c…8c18backed Yes8c7,353$593 inLost-$592.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb574…6804backed Yes4c1,241$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$10277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6a…3134backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost-$60175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c3…c0b8backed Yes8c625$50 inLost-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Yes13c608.54$78 inLost-$78.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes9c604.76$55 inLost-$54.684831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…466ebacked Yes8c500$40 inLost-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd78…e773backed Yes4c379.36$15 inLost-$152524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes9c325$30 inLost-$305429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed Yes9c317.78$30 inLost-$30.16026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x761b…f902backed Yes10c255.66$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0060…eb25backed Yes12c250$30 inLost-$301540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…58d5backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…3956backed Yes5c224.83$10 inLost-$10.1280%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cac…8426backed Yes8c183.31$15 inLost-$14.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe033…472dbacked Yes7c149.99$10 inLost-$10.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Yes10c128$12 inLost-$12.422638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b2…df23backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…81eebacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…08edbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8b…7677backed Yes12c81.41$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes13c78$10 inLost-$10.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed No70c20$14 inWon+$62657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.