NHL · resolved market
Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6060eee47f094ca68941003911c5c442a210d2a86c89b0b96e29beb0463d05ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 51c | 9,265$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,564.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 55c | 6,102$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.1 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…c183backed No | 25c | 3,900$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 50c | 3,096$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…8ea5backed No | 25c | 2,727$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 56c | 2,222$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 55c | 1,993$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.94 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes | 52c | 1,569$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 57c | 1,278$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 70c | 998.7$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…c8b5backed Yes | 56c | 735.63$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 24c | 717.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 18c | 513.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…538abacked Yes | 40c | 425.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8f…76b3backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 19c | 264.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 51c | 222.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 217$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…e3b5backed Yes | 56c | 212.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cbfabacked Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7e92backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…38d8backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Yes | 31c | 118.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb5…4ed5backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…0bf8backed No | 73c | 75.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 53c | 67.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…ee0ebacked Yes | 80c | 63.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…af4bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f2…7c64backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…4527backed Yes | 52c | 40.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…2a38backed Yes | 53c | 37.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…f334backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…129dbacked Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…271bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…d016backed Yes | 44c | 29.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…b091backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…a67cbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…908ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…fc21backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Yes | 77c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…d8cebacked Yes | 52c | 19.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 67c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…0085backed No | 72c | 16.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?this page
- Boston Bruins win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Carolina Hurricanes win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Colorado Avalanche win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Dallas Stars win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- New York Rangers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Vancouver Canucks win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.