NHL · resolved market
Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde56ef83e8d09aaca1e226e493ae19436505214f8568eb6b25c446f9cf393a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09af…d337backed Yes | 21c | 8,224$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 55c | 5,089$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.86 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 3,231$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…8ea5backed Yes | 25c | 2,785$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,533$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,183$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.34 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 44c | 2,105$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,888$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…f89cbacked No | 72c | 1,830$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 55c | 1,827$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 29c | 1,647$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.4 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 33c | 1,577$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.97 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed No | 55c | 1,389$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…25d0backed Yes | 50c | 1,338$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 27c | 1,308$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 48c | 1,020$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 17c | 1,009$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…a151backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 20c | 871.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 69c | 444.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…031bbacked Yes | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…a447backed Yes | 10c | 386.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…0bf8backed No | 63c | 338.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 305.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc5…aec2backed Yes | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 48c | 217.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…b5eabacked Yes | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…314cbacked Yes | 50c | 148.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…1dd6backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…6b9dbacked Yes | 50c | 120.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Yes | 9c | 119.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad0…fcdbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…c04bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Yes | 27c | 94.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…08d4backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…0312backed Yes | 23c | 81.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…881bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…a208backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…b751backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…e51dbacked Yes | 31c | 67.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…f111backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4952…560bbacked Yes | 49c | 49.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…2a38backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…489ebacked Yes | 45c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…3b94backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…d3e8backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…5676backed No | 75c | 28.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a4…fd2ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…cc6ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…e1ebbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?this page
- Boston Bruins win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Carolina Hurricanes win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Colorado Avalanche win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Dallas Stars win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?Yes won
- New York Rangers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Vancouver Canucks win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
- Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.