TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Kenny Atkinson win NBA Coach of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3613…79e1backed No3c995.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8513133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c7…f049backed Yes54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460d…a253backed No46c980$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff0…d216backed Yes54c980$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e75…2336backed No46c980$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No4c961.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes58c430.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.885453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No25c388.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2324549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed No16c350.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.546747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked No14c310.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.651118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-70.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No40c297.83$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed No14c259.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.722020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+77.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No19c141.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick12cpaid+11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab03…fae5backed Yes43c111.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.491241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes75c96.06$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.017051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d40…7151backed Yes52c91$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453d…6f86backed Yes54c79.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5398…d2b5backed Yes60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…ed85backed No40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes61c56.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1872241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes61c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc838…1288backed Yes69c49.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x916c…1999backed No32c45.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…f444backed Yes58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…71a9backed No42c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3e…4f96backed No32c44.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…2185backed Yes53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff64…c395backed No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…133cbacked Yes80c38.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x609b…c208backed Yes69c37.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…bf9bbacked Yes55c32.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…751bbacked Yes53c28.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540a…f1d8backed Yes80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes56c22.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844b…0a51backed Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c9…8ac9backed Yes58c19.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e34…4fe1backed Yes60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.