TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Dante Moore be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d18…4972backed Yes1c7,314$107 inLost-$107.086219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…61e6backed Yes1c1,500$11 inLost-$10.7680%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes1c1,250$18 inLost-$17.81330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,101$12 inLost-$11.895679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes10c500$50 inLost-$507750.6%39 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes16c314.99$50 inLost-$50.455345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes15c186.5$28 inLost-$28.3628151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes22c155.96$34 inLost-$34.2318629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9837…8bf8backed Yes20c110$22 inLost-$21.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5384…7408backed Yes22c50$11 inLost-$116142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.