NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d5f49b73dcc2da7be0f0219cbeb19bab0add36772adc053f643ffa6bd3e234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 1c | 3,092$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…8190backed No | 1c | 2,166$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,254$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked No | 22c | 570$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 9c | 500.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 326.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 315.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 15c | 246$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 242.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…d925backed No | 14c | 162.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed No | 15c | 130.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 20c | 88.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…306ebacked No | 14c | 88.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…aed2backed No | 14c | 75.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…a468backed No | 21c | 61.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…139dbacked No | 24c | 44.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…4219backed Yes | 76c | 23.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…b094backed Yes | 80c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c365backed Yes | 80c | 17.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…0a68backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Celtics get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Miami Heat get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic get the #1 seed in 2025 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.