Ukraine · resolved market
Zelenskyy impeached before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1998c586eba0f0882db29d7e9024d13e5571db64d5f0958bb2e532fe04d48de0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed Yes | 7c | 4,006$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 7c | 3,368$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,837$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,593$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…63b0backed Yes | 9c | 2,528$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…4c47backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 7c | 1,881$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae48…d9b6backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…6ed0backed Yes | 6c | 1,661$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 9c | 1,310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,117$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…58ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…9b90backed Yes | 8c | 1,066$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…3290backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 889.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Yes | 9c | 835.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 9c | 781.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 7c | 559.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 8c | 556.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 537.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc05…632dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 480$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked Yes | 6c | 447.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…62d1backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…9f8abacked Yes | 7c | 360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…fb57backed Yes | 6c | 326.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…ae74backed Yes | 6c | 311.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Yes | 10c | 311.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…37a7backed Yes | 7c | 311.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…6ca2backed Yes | 7c | 301.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…badcbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…8941backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 5c | 257.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 9c | 233.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27b…a28fbacked Yes | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…c1c8backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 9c | 225.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…c5a1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 216.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 7c | 202.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…7820backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…09ebbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…0d53backed Yes | 9c | 176.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…86b5backed Yes | 9c | 154.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…2096backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…b26ebacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.