Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db7841bfa0051180efa513e23bd08a1a787cff58c95618d70a4da3dfc88a2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked No | 10c | 4,913$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 3,126$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.96 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 58c | 2,505$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.61 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 1,936$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 64c | 1,900$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 1,568$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked Yes | 70c | 875$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…61eebacked No | 60c | 830.93$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 65c | 749.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…3c85backed Yes | 70c | 714.51$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 49c | 702.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 57c | 560.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…6987backed No | 12c | 547.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 49c | 509.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 34c | 475$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 51c | 461$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…4c80backed No | 30c | 455$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 52c | 446.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 33c | 438.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…62b4backed No | 32c | 375.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa812…9c13backed No | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ca…e168backed No | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…90a4backed No | 30c | 325$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Yes | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…6fd1backed No | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 76c | 312$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…bd93backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked No | 20c | 290$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 54c | 271$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked Yes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Yes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…a826backed No | 40c | 245.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…bad1backed No | 42c | 243.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…efddbacked No | 26c | 231.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Yes | 70c | 227.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 217.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked Yes | 68c | 207.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed Yes | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Yes | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…68a7backed Yes | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed No | 35c | 189.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…5d73backed Yes | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…88bebacked No | 35c | 169.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3cbebacked No | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…d355backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 35c | 141.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…a755backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…7475backed No | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…baa5backed Yes | 70c | 135$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…b8a3backed Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…ff73backed No | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 75c | 127.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…b2ebbacked No | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…6777backed Yes | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…2731backed No | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…b313backed Yes | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e5d0backed No | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…7079backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…9394backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 49c | 89.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 15c | 89.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 72c | 85.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 60c | 73.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 56.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…31bfbacked No | 31c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7846…14cabacked Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…44a4backed Yes | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…b336backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 50c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dac…0dc4backed Yes | 71c | 35.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 64c | 25.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 67c | 25.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f6…c209backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…330abacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…f0d8backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…e835backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in March?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in March?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.