Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9d8572fc2d2373590b09d8ebdc2cd2ae898b822e9e5bffd1f8a699cff20c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed Yes | 1c | 18,216$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked No | 46c | 6,855$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…9f20backed Yes | 43c | 4,929$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.8 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 30c | 2,618$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.79 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed No | 79c | 2,579$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,348$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.38 | 250 | 6%15 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 56c | 2,079$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…19c4backed No | 76c | 1,413$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…94bcbacked Yes | 39c | 819.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 41c | 793.79$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.88 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes | 32c | 746$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 493 | 38.9%192 W · 301 L | +49.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 30c | 728.2$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…f2aebacked Yes | 27c | 395$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked Yes | 52c | 367.22$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 49c | 258.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…234ebacked Yes | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…3fa6backed Yes | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…e327backed Yes | 32c | 220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…24a8backed Yes | 32c | 215$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 27c | 201.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a9…628fbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…6437backed Yes | 30c | 195$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 27c | 180.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +17.9wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…45edbacked No | 19c | 175$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…b933backed Yes | 27c | 145$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…e35fbacked No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 191 | 26.2%50 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 54c | 126.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…b68fbacked No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…43f3backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…03cebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…6566backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…e730backed No | 48c | 97.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…33acbacked No | 19c | 95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…262bbacked Yes | 80c | 95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8c…a4ecbacked No | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…d5e8backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…970dbacked No | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bb90backed No | 74c | 95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…e172backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…47e9backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…866bbacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…6d54backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de3…2e8ebacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e2…4e21backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…7598backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 76c | 84.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 70c | 81.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a9…e09fbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…c408backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…382ebacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…f3eabacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…0390backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 67.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 321 | 33.3%107 W · 214 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…a323backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…1798backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152a…0626backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…35e8backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked No | 58c | 54.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…9fdcbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…820bbacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…fef5backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…2cc5backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +25.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…9434backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 174 | 24.1%42 W · 132 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…99b6backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…7f60backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 30.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…3edcbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ce…6ce0backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…dc3bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e92…77d2backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…9323backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…b98abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb050…07f9backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…1d40backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +353.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523f…ebe9backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…7939backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ed…92e6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…3142backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…305abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…34c6backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…4e21backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 62c | 28.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…4f2bbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…3075backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…91ecbacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on March 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on March 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.