Middle East · resolved market
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9352ec45721fe468cea3d9cb7548873ac7f519f945c774bec21b818145f92a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 16,957$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.42 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 6c | 16,890$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 2c | 10,677$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 2c | 9,453$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 14c | 9,043$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.95 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a3…eb9cbacked Yes | 8c | 8,639$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…cb9cbacked Yes | 4c | 7,863$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.42 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.28 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,983$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes | 8c | 4,622$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,455$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…2c66backed Yes | 7c | 4,079$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 6c | 3,560$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,494$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…aef5backed Yes | 11c | 3,307$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 6c | 3,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 3c | 3,011$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 1c | 3,003$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 14c | 2,934$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +106%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…525abacked Yes | 8c | 2,698$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…962ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…27ebbacked Yes | 6c | 2,448$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,313$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c33cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,175$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 9c | 2,090$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 6c | 1,992$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…4bb1backed Yes | 17c | 1,891$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,828$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 14c | 1,709$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…6498backed Yes | 17c | 1,635$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.55 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Yes | 12c | 1,632$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,165$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…f95dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…f954backed Yes | 9c | 1,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 10c | 1,109$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6654backed Yes | 9c | 1,094$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fbf6backed Yes | 18c | 1,093$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 78c | 1,000$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 14c | 859.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…f796backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 8c | 832.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 761.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 6c | 699.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 685.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 72 | 1.4%1 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…0451backed Yes | 5c | 635.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 9c | 608$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 15c | 599.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…c862backed Yes | 17c | 562.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 18c | 557.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 5c | 504.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed Yes | 20c | 501.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…39b0backed Yes | 15c | 499.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 9c | 497.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 76c | 465.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…1ee0backed Yes | 3c | 465.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…b66bbacked Yes | 22c | 450.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 450$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…d26fbacked Yes | 9c | 449.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f17abacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…61dabacked Yes | 6c | 407.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…fc3abacked Yes | 13c | 402.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…6fddbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 5c | 320$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked Yes | 5c | 312.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…8e55backed Yes | 12c | 310.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…39cfbacked Yes | 24c | 306.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…b284backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…020abacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…f8b7backed Yes | 3c | 296.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…8af1backed Yes | 4c | 295$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…e03cbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…e4adbacked Yes | 19c | 258.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 21c | 254.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0b…f3e3backed No | 80c | 250.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…00aabacked Yes | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 22c | 229.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…ced9backed Yes | 8c | 225$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…c7f3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb093…c66fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8395…68d0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…744dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bb…d19dbacked Yes | 17c | 194.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…ac98backed Yes | 16c | 192.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 13c | 189.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…9015backed Yes | 13c | 188.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…ba9abacked Yes | 16c | 171.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…a9c5backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 14c | 166.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 13c | 164.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…9036backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…4f2bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.