World Politics · resolved market
Yoon arrested by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4981a6163fa1e63a06cb549d30da97b3b80e5ea10a408340a977c4691ce0a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,056,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $982,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 10c | 86,924$8,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 10c | 75,113$7,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,561.91 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 12c | 42,850$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.21 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 8c | 29,532$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.19 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 11c | 27,535$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.97 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…f334backed Yes | 5c | 24,813$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 13c | 24,392$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.14 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 16c | 21,368$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 7c | 19,244$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 16c | 18,971$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 29c | 17,061$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…2851backed Yes | 15c | 16,792$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 12c | 13,501$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 10c | 11,933$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.01 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 11,889$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.17 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 13c | 10,128$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.65 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 14c | 9,873$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.62 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 8c | 9,187$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e27…4e9ebacked Yes | 13c | 9,128$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 0c | 7,607$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe844…fe1abacked Yes | 8c | 7,537$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 14c | 7,526$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.71 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 7c | 7,506$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 15c | 7,014$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 16c | 6,879$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 7c | 6,878$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.61 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 5,611$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 9c | 5,569$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 14c | 5,385$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 11c | 5,336$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.35 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 13c | 5,037$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 11c | 4,854$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.49 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…fb58backed Yes | 16c | 4,824$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…1618backed Yes | 11c | 4,636$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 4,501$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 10c | 4,354$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.9 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,003$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 0c | 3,999$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked Yes | 25c | 3,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked Yes | 14c | 3,872$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,822$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Yes | 22c | 3,821$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 17c | 3,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.82 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 14c | 3,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.03 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 71c | 3,316$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 14c | 3,200$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes | 9c | 3,169$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…b5f9backed Yes | 15c | 2,765$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 11c | 2,750$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 11c | 2,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…785fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,010$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked No | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 13c | 1,642$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…55cbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,616$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 16c | 1,608$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,556$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,555$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 15c | 1,434$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…1160backed Yes | 13c | 1,415$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed Yes | 15c | 1,368$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 11c | 1,327$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…ded6backed Yes | 4c | 1,310$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ca…4f29backed No | 79c | 1,271$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 21c | 1,253$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,195$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…b4a3backed Yes | 32c | 1,094$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 14c | 1,061$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 14c | 1,020$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…0ad5backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…50a8backed Yes | 4c | 997.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked Yes | 16c | 991$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 14c | 981.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…414cbacked Yes | 13c | 959.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 8c | 914.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed Yes | 18c | 908.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 20c | 753.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 16c | 704.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed Yes | 14c | 694.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 14c | 689.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 20c | 660$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…f68abacked Yes | 15c | 625.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 15c | 593.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 20c | 500.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…5ec5backed Yes | 12c | 488.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 15c | 470$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f91…8831backed Yes | 19c | 433$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…13b2backed Yes | 12c | 420$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 13c | 392.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…02a3backed No | 75c | 357.76$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…ec33backed Yes | 10c | 352.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…3b1cbacked Yes | 15c | 350.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 16c | 305.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 18c | 302.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.