CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ee02d60346b26cbfb449c251c547aac47f66a13b7f6e4bb29672e3a3fe2fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 24,785$8,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,338.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 34c | 13,903$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED | 67c | 9,709$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.42 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ARCRED | 65c | 6,100$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.03 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ASTRAL | 34c | 5,312$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.12 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked ARCRED | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ARCRED | 68c | 4,800$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.95 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED | 66c | 4,462$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.71 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 3,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.64 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL | 32c | 2,494$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed ARCRED | 67c | 2,447$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.39 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…9999backed ASTRAL | 39c | 2,261$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ARCRED | 57c | 2,015$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.9 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed ARCRED | 65c | 1,900$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.99 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ARCRED | 69c | 1,814$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.18 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed ARCRED | 66c | 1,525$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked ARCRED | 67c | 1,464$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.7 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ASTRAL | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ARCRED | 60c | 1,165$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked ARCRED | 65c | 1,152$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked ARCRED | 54c | 1,108$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ASTRAL | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed ARCRED | 66c | 1,055$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.24 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed ARCRED | 66c | 1,046$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed ARCRED | 65c | 960$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed ARCRED | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed ARCRED | 66c | 706$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 37c | 700.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed ASTRAL | 36c | 658$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed ARCRED | 66c | 605.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ASTRAL | 48c | 605.03$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked ARCRED | 65c | 538.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ARCRED | 69c | 535.76$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed ARCRED | 65c | 521.66$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed ARCRED | 69c | 504.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed ASTRAL | 31c | 500.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.13 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed ASTRAL | 36c | 499.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ASTRAL | 35c | 495.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed ASTRAL | 35c | 472.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked ARCRED | 44c | 449.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 40c | 422.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ARCRED | 69c | 393.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ASTRAL | 34c | 380.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed ARCRED | 65c | 380.61$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked ARCRED | 54c | 370.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed ASTRAL | 40c | 370$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ARCRED | 66c | 364.26$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 35c | 359$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed ARCRED | 70c | 345.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed ASTRAL | 60c | 334.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED | 73c | 328.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ARCRED | 65c | 322.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 312.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed ARCRED | 64c | 305.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed ARCRED | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed ASTRAL | 24c | 297.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ARCRED | 62c | 287$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed ASTRAL | 32c | 283.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked ARCRED | 65c | 281$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ARCRED | 55c | 274.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked ARCRED | 80c | 269.71$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked ARCRED | 66c | 243$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed ARCRED | 66c | 236.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked ARCRED | 66c | 236.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed ASTRAL | 34c | 235.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 46c | 229$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed ARCRED | 65c | 226$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked ARCRED | 65c | 224.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked ARCRED | 65c | 220.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed ASTRAL | 33c | 220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed ARCRED | 67c | 208.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed ASTRAL | 34c | 208.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked ARCRED | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 245 | 62%152 W · 93 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed ASTRAL | 33c | 195.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed ASTRAL | 36c | 195.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ARCRED | 66c | 192.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ARCRED | 66c | 192.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ASTRAL | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ARCRED | 72c | 189.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed ARCRED | 56c | 177.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed ARCRED | 65c | 172.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ARCRED | 59c | 170.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 50c | 167.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed ARCRED | 67c | 164$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed ARCRED | 66c | 163.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ARCRED | 61c | 157$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL | 35c | 154$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked ARCRED | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed ARCRED | 68c | 148.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked ASTRAL | 34c | 145.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ARCRED | 66c | 142.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 142.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ASTRAL | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ARCRED | 72c | 138.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed ARCRED | 48c | 137.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ARCRED | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed ASTRAL | 33c | 126.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…4483backed ASTRAL | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed ARCRED | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
- Map Handicap: ARC (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)ASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.