AI · resolved market
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310c3d08f015157ec78e04f3f4fefed659b5e2bd88ae80cb38ff27ef970c39bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 10c | 26,563$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…9d1bbacked Yes | 6c | 22,646$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 16,581$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.03 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…1592backed Yes | 4c | 16,272$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.93 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…66b6backed Yes | 6c | 9,737$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed Yes | 10c | 6,866$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 12c | 5,355$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.72 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 5,054$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.98 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 4,716$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…b802backed No | 77c | 4,573$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…cdd3backed Yes | 6c | 4,282$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,823$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…d049backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,372$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 69c | 2,212$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,169$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 12c | 2,041$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 2,015$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…9306backed Yes | 33c | 2,002$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 8c | 1,993$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,607$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,549$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked No | 77c | 1,514$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked Yes | 14c | 1,495$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,464$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 77c | 1,316$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…39bfbacked No | 68c | 1,245$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 1,116$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 72c | 1,109$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 15c | 999.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…6b34backed Yes | 4c | 844.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…0f69backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 77c | 814$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…9ae5backed Yes | 6c | 810.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 8c | 800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 10c | 779.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…bf10backed Yes | 20c | 744.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb8…3b9fbacked Yes | 12c | 732.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 2c | 720$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 17c | 696.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…9a51backed Yes | 33c | 639.35$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…5300backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked Yes | 6c | 617.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 69c | 582.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 2c | 560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 75c | 547.49$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 510.07$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…adbebacked Yes | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…7007backed Yes | 15c | 496$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 78c | 456.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 68c | 447.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked No | 72c | 444.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b6f2backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…25e5backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 70c | 375.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed No | 70c | 373.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…b45dbacked No | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…d707backed Yes | 6c | 350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ce…e4dabacked No | 73c | 346.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…5defbacked Yes | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…a6b0backed No | 79c | 339.51$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab97…e887backed Yes | 24c | 329.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…c4a0backed Yes | 36c | 326.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 12c | 320.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +718.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7121…afd2backed Yes | 13c | 318.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 24c | 314.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…b922backed No | 75c | 299.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 29c | 299.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…c6aebacked Yes | 9c | 288.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 35c | 282.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…93abbacked Yes | 23c | 275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…c79abacked Yes | 6c | 263.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 72c | 252.26$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x690a…0813backed No | 72c | 249.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 25c | 248.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…09e9backed No | 75c | 248.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 215.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…1ab9backed Yes | 28c | 212.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa7…d8f0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…233bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 68c | 199.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 21c | 195.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…3cd1backed Yes | 21c | 192.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…6485backed Yes | 31c | 192.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…6be4backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…adbfbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.