Earnings · resolved market
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815144415dd78f1f7a7cf228465855ec7f37fa57eca96503ffa7f934dda8bdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 70c | 7,596$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.05 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…3498backed No | 10c | 4,700$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +557%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…0284backed Yes | 1c | 4,616$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 79c | 1,443$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 4c | 1,087$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.19 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 4c | 1,074$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.79 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 6c | 897$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.48 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 4c | 873.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.12 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 2c | 682.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.83 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…4133backed No | 7c | 680.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +462.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked No | 7c | 670.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +352%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…8d58backed No | 3c | 578.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +451.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 7c | 554.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…5c52backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 433.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 3cpaid | +410.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked No | 5c | 357.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +1,203.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 4c | 335.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.96 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 300.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.52 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…7274backed No | 9c | 288.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +762%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed No | 6c | 251.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +170%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 227.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…adf1backed No | 7c | 205.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,436.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed No | 5c | 203.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,113.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…21cdbacked No | 12c | 167.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fc49backed No | 7c | 161.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 78c | 153.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked No | 12c | 112.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +335.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.