Lol · resolved market
Will Team Vitality win the LEC 2026 Versus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa53832a1b14add0b40486e3116467c16f9ec2f89f10e4a29f984aae904d34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 6,988$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 6,626$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 2c | 1,990$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,376$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 996.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Yes | 3c | 798$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 616.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…3611backed Yes | 7c | 555.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…f341backed Yes | 7c | 548.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 444.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…b99cbacked Yes | 3c | 437$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Yes | 5c | 320.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Vitality win the LEC 2026 Versus?this page
- Will Fnatic win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?Yes won
- Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Karmine Corp Blue win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.