Lol · resolved market
Will Natus Vincere win the LEC 2026 Versus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93338912a28038645e164a173eab0ee29aaefa75b1a448eea9cb06128be4110f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,806$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 2,832$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,255$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 915.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 7c | 607.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 3c | 499$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 10c | 445.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 6c | 412.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 363.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…728ebacked Yes | 4c | 338.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 8c | 297.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…0b1abacked Yes | 12c | 241.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 14c | 210$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,071 | 47.1%504 W · 567 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 761 | 29%221 W · 540 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…1f88backed Yes | 10c | 148.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…b800backed Yes | 7c | 139.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…ccbcbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Natus Vincere win the LEC 2026 Versus?this page
- Will Fnatic win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?Yes won
- Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Karmine Corp Blue win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Los Ratones win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
- Will Team Vitality win the LEC 2026 Versus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.