UFC · resolved market
Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea85c71a74eead835aafddbed7e66c3a9b6201567aab42ebeeb63974de5f33f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 43c | 23,357$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked No | 60c | 20,208$12,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 57c | 9,707$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.96 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 58c | 3,726$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 3,306$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.89 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 57c | 2,625$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 1,910$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.41 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 57c | 1,766$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.46 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 30c | 1,560$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 43c | 860.42$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e5…d3febacked Yes | 43c | 837$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…9b97backed Yes | 42c | 818.24$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 43c | 783.6$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c1…3aa5backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +114%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…eae8backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…86f2backed Yes | 44c | 544.07$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Yes | 43c | 515.23$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 53c | 512.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 59c | 505$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…e52ebacked Yes | 45c | 495.17$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…d1f6backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 43c | 462.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 441.26$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…0d4dbacked Yes | 49c | 409.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…0bafbacked Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0505backed Yes | 47c | 375.76$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…65cdbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5414…a31abacked Yes | 43c | 356.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…03afbacked Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…ba40backed Yes | 43c | 273.81$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 60c | 270.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…a955backed Yes | 43c | 250.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…7a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…d19ebacked Yes | 44c | 234.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…37c1backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…4bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…642cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8709backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 60c | 226.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…9a94backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Yes | 44c | 221.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 53c | 221.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…1f76backed Yes | 46c | 213.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…c8a6backed Yes | 43c | 207.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…85f4backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…45adbacked Yes | 43c | 198.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 55c | 194.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05d…bc1abacked Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…86dcbacked Yes | 43c | 183.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff4…c614backed Yes | 43c | 165.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…b4e5backed Yes | 32c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 43c | 148.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…822abacked Yes | 43c | 142.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…b829backed Yes | 42c | 141.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…d4ecbacked Yes | 43c | 137.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 43c | 129.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…f48abacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…43efbacked Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 55c | 120.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…3c8bbacked Yes | 42c | 119.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…9238backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 42c | 118.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0a44backed Yes | 42c | 116.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…b98abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…4893backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fd…2251backed Yes | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…8d54backed Yes | 45c | 111.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3279backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…faa3backed Yes | 44c | 109.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e35…8a05backed Yes | 46c | 107.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab22…c3f6backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 102.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Yes | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…2352backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes | 43c | 98.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 56c | 98.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 14c | 90.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…7b4fbacked Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…b6c5backed Yes | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…67e3backed Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Yes | 43c | 81.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…cd8bbacked Yes | 43c | 78.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6a…3dd1backed Yes | 42c | 77.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked No | 65c | 76.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked No | 55c | 76.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ciryl Gane won
- Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.