Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8a5f76c6b52ff1a2e38c3cdf9b5378e5f272804e0b5b638b7272517d71b019b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Leeds United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 1,754$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 15c | 1,652$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 1,479$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.96 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 1,066$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 16c | 869.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 579$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 384.06$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 24c | 299.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…71b8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 265.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 259.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Leeds United FC | 77c | 232.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 232.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Leeds United FC | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Leeds United FC | 78c | 196.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 14c | 194.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 15c | 194.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 183.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 11c | 166.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 23c | 87.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 78.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Leeds United FC | 79c | 45.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 34.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Leeds United FC | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Leeds United FC | 78c | 27.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Leeds United FC | 78c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.