Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a6eb66634af2875f2221c7186109b8a5b391d17cb6ec062cf1f33f7b32e3c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 69c | 1,319$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 1,287$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 5c | 1,222$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 2c | 675$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 455.24$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 28c | 160.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 33c | 149.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Over | 36c | 146.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 36c | 118.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa30b…29e5backed Under | 65c | 75.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Under | 65c | 72.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 68.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 72c | 56.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Over | 35c | 40.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 32.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 63c | 32.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…10f2backed Over | 37c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 70c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Brighton & Hove Albion FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.