TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c29,000$15,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0802774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c8,597$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.2276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under48c6,400$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,32814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over44c5,950$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.8488635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Under49c5,058$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.415442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under48c4,652$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.8313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c2,914$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43713630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under48c2,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45615255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c2,400$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0407959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over13c2,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c1,461$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.734,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c1,461$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.942,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over19c1,300$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25113721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c1,274$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1617959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62414355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62412157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Under46c1,121$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.812757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c988.73$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.1469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50416858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under47c860.19$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba0…cc1abacked Under47c827.28$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under46c799.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.986058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over52c728.26$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under48c693.56$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6513855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under48c640$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.814354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under48c624$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4813858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under48c560$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c460$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under51c459.96$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c459.19$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over20c402.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.594837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c401.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20812558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20810558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c390.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5857833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over14c350$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c298.28$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over54c275.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c261.2$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.011,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c260.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9833551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over57c199.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9910147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Over52c194.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.395742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3f…32b2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under48c159.96$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1811457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8718449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over56c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Over42c149.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.412245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04dc…62acbacked Over53c146.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.532860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over12c121.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over34c118.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x943f…ab55backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c105.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over52c96.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.354353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.234632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Over54c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.332528%7 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over59c84.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.759957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over54c81.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c78.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.051,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…a9bbbacked Over52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5111248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba1…f2fdbacked Over20c62.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over42c60.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.685851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.214351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over58c58.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over53c58.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c57.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6522049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over58c51.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7742862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over59c51.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over53c44.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.845259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over54c44.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.072147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.