Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409c10ae11d2ebbb20cf36f18ef638d82119662302bdebfe3333253767b8f21a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 15,070$9,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.7 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 41c | 13,244$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.69 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 7,282$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.81 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 5,649$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.1 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Over | 34c | 3,785$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 3,329$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.31 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 38c | 3,048$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 19c | 2,568$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 37c | 2,440$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 1,750$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Under | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,503$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.34 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 1,321$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.28 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 60c | 1,237$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.68 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 38c | 1,200$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.65 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 62c | 1,009$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.41 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 67c | 986.23$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.01 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 65c | 974.77$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.81 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 33c | 841.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 838.17$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 32c | 650$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 68c | 569$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 59c | 562.21$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 75c | 535.59$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 24c | 504.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +204.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 49c | 482.98$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 63c | 423.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 55c | 380$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 359.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 60c | 321$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 304.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 65c | 299.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 66c | 295.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 276.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 41c | 275.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 60c | 251.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 234.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Under | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 37c | 227.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 59c | 207.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 65c | 201.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 60c | 185.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 59c | 182.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 59c | 154.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 151.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 67c | 124.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 31c | 118$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 67c | 108.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 46c | 107.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 101.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 60c | 100.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 60c | 96.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 60c | 89.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 49c | 75.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 59c | 74.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…1834backed Over | 34c | 73.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 66c | 70.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 69.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 64.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 60c | 60.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 60.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 33c | 60.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 36c | 58.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 34c | 55.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 64c | 52.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 42c | 51.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 34c | 50.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 66c | 50.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 59c | 43.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 42.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 61c | 37.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 37c | 37.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 63c | 34.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 66c | 34.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 59c | 33.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 53c | 33.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 66c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 49c | 29.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: New York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: New York City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.