Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x670aaecc281e6471fbefcbc240035bf68efa29f252e51a380a2750f06c18094d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 59c | 10,244$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.29 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 7,190$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.09 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 44c | 5,634$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.81 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 5,400$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.95 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 41c | 5,068$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.16 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 4,682$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.09 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 41c | 4,165$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.69 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 1,619$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.77 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 1,298$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.77 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Yes | 59c | 840.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 585.58$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 46c | 569$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.74 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 558$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 470.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 346.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 56c | 315.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…9946backed No | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 58c | 250.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 228.81$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 58c | 187.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 36c | 169.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 60c | 166.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 58c | 162.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 41c | 127.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 43c | 122.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…3ddfbacked Yes | 58c | 116.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 116.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 46c | 109.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 40c | 93.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Yes | 55c | 88.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 55c | 81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 55c | 75.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 40c | 69.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 57c | 64.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Yes | 58c | 56.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 57c | 54.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 58c | 41.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…370fbacked No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 43c | 35.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 31.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 41c | 28.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 54c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 59c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 23.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…9b40backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…949dbacked Yes | 61c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: New York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: New York City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 0.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 1.5Under won
- New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.