MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c234d29f82873653ed93f2f28cf027c6e2a004a819021170eb91f8878a24fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 105,610$52,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,287.93 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 60,686$30,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,343.1 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 30,838$15,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,110.38 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 14,265$7,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.11 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.99 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 39c | 8,638$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.96 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 6,966$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 6,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 52c | 5,502$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.07 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 30c | 3,968$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.23 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 3,097$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.38 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 2,373$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.28 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 2,257$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 68c | 2,074$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,870$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.44 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 26c | 1,775$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.57 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 53c | 1,334$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 48c | 1,306$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.94 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.14 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Under | 72c | 1,053$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 35c | 885.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.56 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 799.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 25c | 775.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 11c | 627.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 50c | 499.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 493.75$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 36c | 437.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 436.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 402.85$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Under | 52c | 371.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 306.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 76c | 305.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 49c | 303.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 71c | 299.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 252.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 50c | 210.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 172.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 50c | 152.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 146.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 137$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 50c | 123.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 118.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 106.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 19c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 63c | 79.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 78.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 16c | 76.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 50c | 74.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Over | 50c | 65.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 64.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 49c | 64.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 50c | 63.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 50c | 52.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…38a3backed Over | 23c | 46.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 50c | 44.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Over | 50c | 43.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 42.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 50c | 37.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked Under | 72c | 35.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Over | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 50c | 27.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Under | 72c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 51c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.