TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Colorado Rockies51c12,600$6,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs44c8,897$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.7112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs39c8,198$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.478,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies60c6,730$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.3211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies45c5,312$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.128,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs45c3,230$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.7291252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Chicago Cubs49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies60c2,763$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.9610,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Chicago Cubs40c1,591$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.445350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies50c1,499$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.712,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Chicago Cubs51c1,411$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.711,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs50c1,406$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.724,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies50c1,182$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.826,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Cubs39c630$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.971,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs43c545.01$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.038,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs6c423.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7554815.9%87 W · 461 L-41.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.948354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x136c…d723backed Chicago Cubs49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies49c355.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.243,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies54c350.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.331,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs49c331.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.247447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Chicago Cubs49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Chicago Cubs50c283$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.511134.2%38 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies50c253.4$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.71,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Cubs24c244.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Chicago Cubs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies40c197.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.811,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Chicago Cubs54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011846.6%55 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs46c177.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.254,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Chicago Cubs39c171$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6923140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Colorado Rockies55c163.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4327652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Colorado Rockies50c157.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9450748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies51c150.81$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.472,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Chicago Cubs49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.741152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Chicago Cubs50c127.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.441,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies68c121.25$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.064,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Colorado Rockies50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5099947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Chicago Cubs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Colorado Rockies52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4816648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Chicago Cubs63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9470950.1%355 W · 354 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Chicago Cubs40c99.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Chicago Cubs51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Colorado Rockies52c95.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago Cubs43c72.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145952.9%243 W · 216 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Chicago Cubs45c65.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5511951.3%61 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…a4a4backed Chicago Cubs39c63.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs33c60.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Colorado Rockies51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Chicago Cubs50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Colorado Rockies73c59.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2683053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Chicago Cubs51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies75c56.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.892,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed Chicago Cubs50c52.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.35757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Colorado Rockies77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.959554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Cubs39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.843,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Chicago Cubs49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Chicago Cubs46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Chicago Cubs48c49.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9981651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Colorado Rockies63c49.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4953644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Chicago Cubs50c48.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0947552.4%249 W · 226 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Chicago Cubs50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.519152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.143,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88e…929fbacked Colorado Rockies49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Colorado Rockies49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies59c32.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1394648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e6…cb9fbacked Colorado Rockies62c30.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Chicago Cubs41c29.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8960049.3%296 W · 304 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Chicago Cubs50c28.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4658254.3%316 W · 266 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Chicago Cubs49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7220745.9%95 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs56c27.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Colorado Rockies49c27.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9113252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Colorado Rockies50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a2…bca9backed Chicago Cubs40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Chicago Cubs47c24.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3417842.7%76 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Colorado Rockies52c22.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0121549.8%107 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000a…6cf7backed Colorado Rockies65c22.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9425260.7%153 W · 99 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Colorado Rockies61c16.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5969447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.