MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ad1e8d7e10a6518b7df7253f0b6e5ba0273d56c38bacad6d0d7569729ae556f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 94,459$48,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,773.15 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 75,306$36,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,146.76 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 40,710$21,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,985.87 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 23,796$11,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,654.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 19,734$9,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,866.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 19,168$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,583.83 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 49c | 16,108$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,215.33 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 15,858$7,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,347.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 10,030$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 4,122$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 73c | 4,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 3,759$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 3,170$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 3,008$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.92 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 959.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 949.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 798$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 750$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 719.87$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 699.27$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.64 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 28c | 599$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 48c | 306.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 47c | 305.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 51c | 185.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 177.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 159.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Under | 49c | 152.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 44c | 151.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 128.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 122.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 110.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 48c | 105.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 102.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 56c | 94.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 92.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…79febacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 51c | 86.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 72.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 47c | 66.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 65.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 53c | 62.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 51c | 62.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…cbffbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 51c | 53.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 50.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 42.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…0838backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 40.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 51c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Under | 49c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.