MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189f32fc838f82489b6878d3027435478dadf892fd284ff6a446063ba28cc8f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 45c | 223,304$100,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,075.92 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 80,126$44,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,056.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 16,329$8,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,355.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 15,397$10,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,530.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 13,986$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.82 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 13,616$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed New York Mets | 39c | 13,356$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.12 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 13,307$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.04 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 11,080$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 8,719$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 0c | 6,600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 6,082$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,415$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 5,082$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.72 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 36c | 3,569$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 11c | 2,666$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 7c | 1,941$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,750$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.42 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,277$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.76 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 1c | 1,255$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…623dbacked New York Mets | 2c | 1,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 46c | 973.78$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.94 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 884.03$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.66 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…775abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 881.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked New York Mets | 7c | 805.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 45c | 800$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked New York Mets | 2c | 797$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked New York Mets | 7c | 750$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 13c | 719$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 680.13$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Mets | 8c | 650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 643$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Mets | 2c | 627.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 10c | 580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked New York Mets | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Mets | 44c | 552$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed New York Mets | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed New York Mets | 3c | 444.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked New York Mets | 40c | 404.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…d723backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 343.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked New York Mets | 10c | 335.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 45c | 320$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 270.32$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 267.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3406backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 246.12$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed New York Mets | 45c | 240.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…ee73backed New York Mets | 7c | 222.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed New York Mets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed New York Mets | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked New York Mets | 46c | 196.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed New York Mets | 14c | 193.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed New York Mets | 44c | 188.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked New York Mets | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed New York Mets | 45c | 180$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0400…dc87backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 179.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…e13abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 173.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 170.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.