Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa30c6afe974f6d44fb94593815370dd04a56b68e302ad39fc60b66613c2befb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof TCU Horned Frogs, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9405…c071backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 18,645$11,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 8,888$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.32 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 6,422$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 5c | 4,862$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 4,242$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 18c | 4,173$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 2,805$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 31c | 1,782$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 1,773$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.84 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 72c | 1,469$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas State Wildcats | 35c | 1,447$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 28c | 1,401$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 1,358$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 1,111$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 1,009$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 869.92$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 836.22$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 676.63$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 601.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 589.36$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 457.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…aa3bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 324.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 314.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 41c | 298.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 247.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 244.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 9c | 221.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 8c | 209.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed TCU Horned Frogs | 78c | 138.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 128.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 125.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 123.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 122.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 120.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 22c | 94.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 86.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 31c | 81.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 78.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 58c | 70.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 64.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 37c | 62.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 54.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 53.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 51.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 63c | 47.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 24c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed TCU Horned Frogs | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 43.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas State Wildcats | 34c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed TCU Horned Frogs | 60c | 29.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed TCU Horned Frogs | 63c | 22.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed TCU Horned Frogs | 65c | 15.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-3.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 157.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.