Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Kira Bataikina vs Ekaterina Kuznetsova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152214854512364eaf14e490af691828f753569214c5e26ac1f5863c3ae6d8d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kira Bataikinaof Kira Bataikina, Ekaterina Kuznetsova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 80c | 3,249$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kira Bataikina | 29c | 2,803$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.29 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 50c | 1,528$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.22 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kira Bataikina | 29c | 168.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Kira Bataikina | 33c | 150.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 44c | 103.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kira Bataikina | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Kira Bataikina | 56c | 99.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 464 | 53.4%248 W · 216 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Kira Bataikina | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 33c | 89.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Kira Bataikina | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 25c | 55.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 66c | 49.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kira Bataikina | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2,164 | 56.1%1,214 W · 950 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Kira Bataikina | 34c | 39.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Kira Bataikina | 72c | 37.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 404 | 58.4%236 W · 168 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ekaterina Kuznetsova | 44c | 32.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Kira Bataikina | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.