Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Luiza Fullana vs Pietra Rivoli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b4892a93325241f452370e493f9ac202fd232b7f755207ee10e888e37fa911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pietra Rivoliof Luiza Fullana, Pietra Rivoli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pietra Rivoli | 59c | 4,732$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.33 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luiza Fullana | 44c | 3,315$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.32 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Luiza Fullana | 46c | 1,311$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.05 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Pietra Rivoli | 48c | 685.42$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.42 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luiza Fullana | 62c | 677.66$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pietra Rivoli | 42c | 576.41$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.29 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Luiza Fullana | 34c | 473.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pietra Rivoli | 16c | 461.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.4 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Pietra Rivoli | 35c | 401.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luiza Fullana | 48c | 362.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luiza Fullana | 65c | 357.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.33 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luiza Fullana | 60c | 331.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Luiza Fullana | 28c | 328.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 142 | 29.6%42 W · 100 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luiza Fullana | 36c | 316.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Luiza Fullana | 50c | 243.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Luiza Fullana | 65c | 230.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pietra Rivoli | 50c | 218.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Pietra Rivoli | 16c | 196.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pietra Rivoli | 15c | 193.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Pietra Rivoli | 48c | 166.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Luiza Fullana | 38c | 149.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 1,104 | 49.7%549 W · 555 L | +46.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Pietra Rivoli | 17c | 115.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Pietra Rivoli | 74c | 97.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Luiza Fullana | 71c | 91.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Luiza Fullana | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Pietra Rivoli | 43c | 87.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Pietra Rivoli | 17c | 87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Luiza Fullana | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,360 | 38.3%521 W · 839 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Pietra Rivoli | 65c | 75.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Pietra Rivoli | 42c | 70.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luiza Fullana | 51c | 66.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed Pietra Rivoli | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Luiza Fullana | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 727 | 51.9%377 W · 350 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Luiza Fullana | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Pietra Rivoli | 44c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Pietra Rivoli | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Luiza Fullana | 44c | 36.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Luiza Fullana | 44c | 36.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Luiza Fullana | 44c | 36.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…3a00backed Luiza Fullana | 34c | 32.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pietra Rivoli | 48c | 30.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed Pietra Rivoli | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 117 | 56.4%66 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Luiza Fullana | 65c | 22.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Luiza Fullana | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Luiza Fullana | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.