MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb845558bf5a8239ae5c3b7ca5784b68a211ba288049b9536540f525888bd2933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 22c | 806.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KT Wiz | 77c | 730.92$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 72c | 277.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 244.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 213.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 211.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed KT Wiz | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed KT Wiz | 58c | 164.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed KT Wiz | 78c | 135$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 110.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 11c | 94.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked KT Wiz | 73c | 83.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Doosan Bears | 23c | 82.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 78.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 58.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed KT Wiz | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 46.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 59c | 41.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 58c | 35.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…03fdbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed KT Wiz | 58c | 27.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 59c | 26.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 58c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed KT Wiz | 58c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.