MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0194372af6eaa9285f82632beecb279fec81beb78d7025a7444c4d914764ba72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Kansas City Royals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $502,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 98,053$35,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,299.08 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 64c | 95,818$61,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,610.8 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 63,206$30,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,023.08 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 51c | 37,899$19,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,570.4 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 63c | 30,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed New York Mets | 60c | 21,159$12,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.03 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 14,101$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.69 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 63c | 12,503$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.17 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 11,429$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 10,729$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 10,489$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…dcedbacked New York Mets | 59c | 8,591$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 7,906$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.05 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 69c | 7,859$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 5,948$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.27 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 64c | 5,851$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 5,498$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.34 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 72c | 5,442$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 64c | 5,244$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 5,228$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 5,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 67c | 3,882$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 3,877$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.48 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 3,243$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 3,243$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.57 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 65c | 3,159$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 3,139$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.07 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 29c | 2,689$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 2,635$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.69 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 2,577$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.52 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 2,411$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.34 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 2,124$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.76 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked New York Mets | 66c | 2,055$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.55 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed New York Mets | 63c | 2,034$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.6 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 61c | 1,962$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.01 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Mets | 63c | 1,944$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.28 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,882$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.16 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,879$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.37 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,784$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.06 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,720$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,694$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,526$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,437$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Mets | 78c | 1,377$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,338$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,274$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.08 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,254$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,221$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed New York Mets | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,156$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.42 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked New York Mets | 78c | 1,053$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 1,027$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.38 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,000$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 954.61$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.3 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 888.16$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 59c | 853.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked New York Mets | 62c | 830.48$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.48 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 826$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.54 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Kansas City Royals | 21c | 800$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed New York Mets | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 61c | 788$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 786.85$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.74 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 771.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals | 6c | 762.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked New York Mets | 56c | 720.38$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 64c | 718$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 718$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 712.37$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 689.71$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed New York Mets | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed New York Mets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 637.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 632.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2360backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 629$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed New York Mets | 51c | 583.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 568.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 73c | 566.75$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Kansas City Royals | 24c | 562.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 528$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 525$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kansas City Royals | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed New York Mets | 60c | 483.82$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 432.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked New York Mets | 73c | 431$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 412.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 409.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 402$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 367$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.