Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Providence Friars vs. Creighton Bluejays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2b5a0d62a09c7864aebcfb43e429e8a6e5ae0f80dc01827f8a53cbfaa1f52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Friarsof Providence Friars, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 40c | 7,128$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Creighton Bluejays | 64c | 6,431$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.13 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 5,003$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars | 47c | 2,987$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.63 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Providence Friars | 63c | 1,838$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.63 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 1,618$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Providence Friars | 38c | 1,051$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.78 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars | 46c | 1,039$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Providence Friars | 38c | 810.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 807.98$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.23 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Providence Friars | 76c | 659.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Providence Friars | 57c | 641.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Providence Friars | 40c | 599.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Providence Friars | 50c | 598.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 559.51$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Providence Friars | 44c | 558.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.3 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars | 38c | 490.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 435.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Providence Friars | 47c | 385.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 315.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Creighton Bluejays | 62c | 242.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 219.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 193.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 56c | 178.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Providence Friars | 51c | 176.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 165.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 155.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 145.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Providence Friars | 41c | 145.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Creighton Bluejays | 59c | 118.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Creighton Bluejays | 55c | 108.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Providence Friars | 42c | 103.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Providence Friars | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Providence Friars | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 61c | 97.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Providence Friars | 54c | 94.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 82.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Creighton Bluejays | 61c | 81.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Providence Friars | 37c | 80.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Providence Friars | 48c | 79.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Providence Friars | 41c | 72.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Providence Friars | 43c | 69.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Providence Friars | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Providence Friars | 43c | 66.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Providence Friars | 38c | 65.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 59.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Providence Friars | 43c | 57.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Creighton Bluejays | 53c | 50.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 50.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Providence Friars | 38c | 49.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…7c61backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…41d9backed Providence Friars | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 42.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…4793backed Creighton Bluejays | 60c | 41.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Providence Friars | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Providence Friars | 55c | 35.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Creighton Bluejays | 63c | 33.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Providence Friars | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Creighton Bluejays | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Creighton Bluejays | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…ad03backed Providence Friars | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Providence Friars vs. Creighton Bluejaysthis page
- Providence Friars vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-2.5)Providence Friars won
- Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-3.5)Providence Friars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.