MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3d3d141be77966d668d926a1ae9256c5ac96ed0db7f7070e1f7f95fa8d62de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof New York Yankees, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 52,740$24,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,244.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 41,956$22,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,299.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 14,330$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 48c | 10,479$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 18c | 9,633$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 3,861$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees | 51c | 3,320$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.34 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,216$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.22 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,935$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 2,705$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 2,133$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 16c | 1,887$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 1,625$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.29 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,081$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,069$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed New York Yankees | 43c | 848.84$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 815.59$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 791.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 33c | 736$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.15 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed New York Yankees | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 17c | 542.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 510.73$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 456.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 46c | 455$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 49c | 397.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 395.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 392.07$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed New York Yankees | 46c | 381.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 378.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 356.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 347.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 325.24$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 316.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 294.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees | 33c | 245.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 211$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 207.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed New York Yankees | 5c | 203.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 203.01$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 169.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 133.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 132$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees | 35c | 117.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees | 46c | 117.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed New York Yankees | 43c | 116.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 111.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed New York Yankees | 47c | 109.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed New York Yankees | 46c | 106.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 46c | 87.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed New York Yankees | 32c | 73.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 67.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed New York Yankees | 17c | 66.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed New York Yankees | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 59.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 53.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 52.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 48c | 32.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…8d49backed New York Yankees | 45c | 31.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 29.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.