MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc61b9f857b24d6fbd5449d42691bb3517288e42aba4fe716d508c207af46f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 162,381$82,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,486.12 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Under | 50c | 31,845$15,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,922.43 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 27,162$13,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,582.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 48c | 12,500$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,974.97 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 48c | 12,386$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.3 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 50c | 12,222$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 49c | 9,873$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.11 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Under | 49c | 9,512$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.15 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 5,420$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.04 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,323$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,967$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 2,567$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.03 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 2,266$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,690$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 1,131$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,104$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 50c | 1,098$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 916.5$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.34 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 52c | 845$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 53c | 761.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.77 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 48c | 694$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 425.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…13d4backed Under | 52c | 419.31$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 408$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 56c | 371.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 274.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 252.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 65c | 230.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 228$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 22c | 222.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 75c | 213.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 202.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 49c | 197.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 57c | 170.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 51c | 162.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 122.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 52c | 118.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 116.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 112.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 108.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Over | 24c | 95.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 84.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 48c | 62.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 62.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 52c | 48.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 49c | 41.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 39.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 49c | 35.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…0359backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 54c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.