Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bacau: Tudor Batin vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c74ba51b6bb4bf88e64fa3ea6b23144f9521fdea0ca813052472e402bbe737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragos Nicolae Cazacuof Tudor Batin, Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tudor Batin | 23c | 5,784$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.61 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 76c | 5,180$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Tudor Batin | 39c | 1,146$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.78 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 62c | 778.35$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Tudor Batin | 22c | 686.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1b0abacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 78c | 452$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 62c | 385.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tudor Batin | 38c | 284$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 79c | 270.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Tudor Batin | 37c | 268.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 66c | 159.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Tudor Batin | 36c | 151.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Tudor Batin | 23c | 114.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tudor Batin | 43c | 112.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 63c | 92.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 79c | 84.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 62c | 74.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Tudor Batin | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tudor Batin | 21c | 70.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Tudor Batin | 31c | 69.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Tudor Batin | 38c | 65.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tudor Batin | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tudor Batin | 20c | 53.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 60c | 42.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 73c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 65c | 23.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 80c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 79c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Dragos Nicolae Cazacu | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.