Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Marko Miladinovic vs Alejandro Moreno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ca8a6fb18fd8e201e2b6e3d927e1cd3e9deb292463a8feab99f61f7a2d850b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marko Miladinovicof Marko Miladinovic, Alejandro Moreno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Marko Miladinovic | 55c | 2,156$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.18 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Alejandro Moreno | 51c | 2,057$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…19e6backed Alejandro Moreno | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Marko Miladinovic | 30c | 1,510$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.49 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marko Miladinovic | 37c | 1,439$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.63 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alejandro Moreno | 49c | 1,396$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Marko Miladinovic | 32c | 1,034$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.38 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Marko Miladinovic | 27c | 729.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.24 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alejandro Moreno | 51c | 572.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alejandro Moreno | 50c | 525.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alejandro Moreno | 57c | 478.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Marko Miladinovic | 31c | 452.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alejandro Moreno | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Alejandro Moreno | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alejandro Moreno | 20c | 140.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alejandro Moreno | 45c | 133.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Alejandro Moreno | 70c | 126.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Marko Miladinovic | 55c | 124.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Alejandro Moreno | 63c | 114.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Alejandro Moreno | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Alejandro Moreno | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Marko Miladinovic | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alejandro Moreno | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Alejandro Moreno | 50c | 101.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Marko Miladinovic | 51c | 98.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alejandro Moreno | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Alejandro Moreno | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alejandro Moreno | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Alejandro Moreno | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alejandro Moreno | 52c | 82.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marko Miladinovic | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Alejandro Moreno | 46c | 67.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Alejandro Moreno | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Alejandro Moreno | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Alejandro Moreno | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alejandro Moreno | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Alejandro Moreno | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alejandro Moreno | 44c | 46.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marko Miladinovic | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Alejandro Moreno | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alejandro Moreno | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Alejandro Moreno | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Marko Miladinovic | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alejandro Moreno | 61c | 30.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alejandro Moreno | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Alejandro Moreno | 51c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alejandro Moreno | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Alejandro Moreno | 73c | 15.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.