TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under56c7,912$4,420 inLost-$4,419.921,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c7,366$3,248 inWon+$4,118.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Under50c2,003$1,000 inLost-$1,0004139%16 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c1,914$955 inWon+$959.494,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Over72c1,792$1,285 inWon+$506.874057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under28c931.95$261 inLost-$260.9411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under50c693.57$350 inLost-$350.074065%26 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over59c475.99$281 inWon+$194.968,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over54c265.53$145 inWon+$120.9912549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under48c200$96 inLost-$9644245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over45c165.92$74 inWon+$91.845748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c158.2$83 inWon+$75.569,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over44c78.84$35 inWon+$44.151,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under51c78.44$40 inLost-$407139.4%28 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under39c77.04$30 inLost-$30.347446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over56c70.8$40 inWon+$30.846152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over56c59.03$33 inWon+$25.6848851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over56c35.4$20 inWon+$15.453655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over56c35.4$20 inWon+$15.422450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed Under49c30.78$15 inLost-$15.084219%8 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over54c22.7$12 inWon+$10.5546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.