MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb765fc99b2e326bb320df01654980a890267c6579be88353447163524e7faf9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 29,023$13,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,215.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 13,514$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,162.36 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 13,019$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030.49 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 10,492$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.93 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 10,283$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.28 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed New York Yankees | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed New York Yankees | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 53c | 9,151$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 7,520$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.37 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 7,122$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,819.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 5,724$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 52c | 4,993$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Yankees | 40c | 4,813$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 53c | 4,708$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 54c | 3,315$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.61 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,811$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.48 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,798$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 2,459$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.78 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,808$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,750$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.21 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed New York Yankees | 71c | 1,671$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 1,457$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,376$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,357$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.45 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees | 53c | 1,157$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.24 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 30c | 1,075$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 840$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 838.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.3 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees | 53c | 787.25$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 46c | 784.21$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees | 54c | 740.84$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.14 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 705.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed New York Yankees | 53c | 705.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 627.85$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 627.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 600$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 600$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees | 53c | 598.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…1af5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 583.19$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 7c | 568.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 9c | 542.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 535.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 512.55$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 499.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.49 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees | 52c | 484.65$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 390.62$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 357.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees | 53c | 310.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 71c | 255$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 247.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 52c | 226$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed New York Yankees | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Yankees | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 54c | 169.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 169.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 53c | 164.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…7b9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 151.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 143.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a471backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 135.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 132$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 128.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed New York Yankees | 35c | 128.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees | 23c | 127.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 104$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…a25cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 102.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 47c | 97.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 90.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 89.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 79.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 66.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 65.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees | 54c | 57.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed New York Yankees | 53c | 55.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 53.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 50.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 50.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Yankees | 53c | 45.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…7f4dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 15.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-6.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.