TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies48c29,023$13,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,215.754,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees53c13,514$7,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,162.3626056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Philadelphia Phillies46c13,019$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,030.4971650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies45c10,492$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.931,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies48c10,283$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.281,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed New York Yankees54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New York Yankees55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9936246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees53c9,151$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.065,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies46c7,520$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.373145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees54c7,122$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.866,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies45c5,724$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.682,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees52c4,993$2,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.134,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed New York Yankees40c4,813$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92519453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees53c4,708$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.584,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees54c3,315$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.611,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed New York Yankees52c2,811$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.487651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees54c2,798$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees52c2,459$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.5611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.7839953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Philadelphia Phillies47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6638551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Philadelphia Phillies50c1,808$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.636256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees54c1,750$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.211,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed New York Yankees71c1,671$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees55c1,457$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.262,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees52c1,376$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.866,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Philadelphia Phillies47c1,357$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.4530242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees53c1,157$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.241,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees30c1,075$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.158,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Philadelphia Phillies46c840$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.69950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Philadelphia Phillies48c838.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.325751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees53c787.25$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.241,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees46c784.21$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.748,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Yankees54c740.84$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed New York Yankees53c705.58$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed New York Yankees53c705.58$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9679255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Philadelphia Phillies48c627.85$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.482653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Philadelphia Phillies34c627.17$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3437444.4%166 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Philadelphia Phillies40c600$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36343954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Philadelphia Phillies17c600$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49670737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees53c598.5$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.212,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe9…1af5backed Philadelphia Phillies48c583.19$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees7c568.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.592,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees9c542.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.441,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed Philadelphia Phillies46c535.35$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Philadelphia Phillies48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.831,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee2…e88fbacked New York Yankees51c512.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.46643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Philadelphia Phillies48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Philadelphia Phillies46c499.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.499655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Yankees52c484.65$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.991,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Philadelphia Phillies62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+45.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Philadelphia Phillies48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679054.4%49 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Yankees53c390.62$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.031,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees46c357.18$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.792,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Philadelphia Phillies45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.335945.8%27 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees53c310.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.331,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees71c255$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.679442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Philadelphia Phillies51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.98943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Philadelphia Phillies48c247.1$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.496347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2743247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees52c226$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.148,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed New York Yankees53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees53c199.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed New York Yankees55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.751,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked New York Yankees56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees54c169.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.642,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Philadelphia Phillies46c169.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0714064.3%90 W · 50 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees53c164.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.451,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aff…7b9abacked Philadelphia Phillies58c151.47$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Philadelphia Phillies43c143.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a471backed Philadelphia Phillies48c141.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.267250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies49c135.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.194,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies44c132$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9279543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies70c128.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.355,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed New York Yankees35c128.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2455645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees23c127.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.581,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies41c104$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.363,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795b…a25cbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c102.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.391540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5458652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5399447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked New York Yankees57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees47c97.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.782,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed New York Yankees53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked New York Yankees54c90.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.025042%21 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Philadelphia Phillies47c89.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6616355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Yankees53c79.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9940447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Philadelphia Phillies47c66.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.333458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked New York Yankees54c65.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.536055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked New York Yankees59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees54c57.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed New York Yankees53c55.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6112154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5639149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Philadelphia Phillies46c53.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6429141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ecb…87ddbacked Philadelphia Phillies48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked New York Yankees57c50.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0218848.9%92 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked New York Yankees37c50.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5916539.4%65 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed New York Yankees53c45.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0434846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…7f4dbacked New York Yankees54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2480%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.