TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ilia Simakinof Ilia Simakin, Gabi Boitan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Gabi Boitan28c29,147$8,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,148.068,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Ilia Simakin66c15,117$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.437062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Gabi Boitan4c4,960$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.393,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilia Simakin77c3,802$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.738,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabi Boitan40c3,048$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Ilia Simakin39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.17159.2%42 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gabi Boitan4c2,148$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.93,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb4…87b5backed Ilia Simakin59c2,134$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Ilia Simakin56c1,995$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.7120444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Ilia Simakin63c1,584$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2411247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ilia Simakin68c1,401$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.644,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Gabi Boitan63c1,046$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7911850%59 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilia Simakin46c1,044$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.946,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Ilia Simakin70c1,009$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.627851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gabi Boitan28c953$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.843,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Gabi Boitan15c888.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Gabi Boitan5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Gabi Boitan38c584.47$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22231164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Ilia Simakin72c562.09$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7929149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gabi Boitan52c557.45$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.499,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Ilia Simakin54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Gabi Boitan47c511.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.091,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Gabi Boitan39c510.29$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.12,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Ilia Simakin50c504.71$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.872,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Gabi Boitan61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017554.3%95 W · 80 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Ilia Simakin79c464.28$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.248251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Ilia Simakin66c429.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.221056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ilia Simakin71c399.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Ilia Simakin56c358$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Ilia Simakin68c319.52$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.718246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Ilia Simakin65c290.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5728954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Gabi Boitan61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.88751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Gabi Boitan48c243.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.882,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…2fd1backed Ilia Simakin42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd68b…cfbabacked Gabi Boitan38c234.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.11435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Ilia Simakin64c219.74$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7454955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb99b…984dbacked Ilia Simakin66c198.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.562142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gabi Boitan44c186.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.481,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffe…a60fbacked Gabi Boitan62c182.69$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2716667.5%112 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Gabi Boitan57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Gabi Boitan58c165.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9727931.9%89 W · 190 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Gabi Boitan38c164.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3522544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Gabi Boitan9c154.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9739159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Ilia Simakin65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Ilia Simakin44c151$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2997852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Gabi Boitan64c143.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6550268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b66…2e68backed Ilia Simakin72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893560%21 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gabi Boitan30c126.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.667,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ilia Simakin40c119.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.412,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Ilia Simakin52c114.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.392,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Gabi Boitan29c113.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.839531.6%30 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabi Boitan39c111.72$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.063,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ilia Simakin67c110.72$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gabi Boitan45c108.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ilia Simakin71c100.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.681,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Gabi Boitan29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Ilia Simakin37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6339844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Gabi Boitan48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.744946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Gabi Boitan40c97.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilia Simakin52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1578857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Gabi Boitan39c95.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.052,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Ilia Simakin72c94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Ilia Simakin51c93.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8242546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gabi Boitan57c91.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Gabi Boitan29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.163537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilia Simakin67c88.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.964,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Ilia Simakin54c88.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6370537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Gabi Boitan29c86.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Ilia Simakin52c84.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.787741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabi Boitan44c83.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.916,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Gabi Boitan40c81.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5742946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Gabi Boitan39c81.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2633754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ilia Simakin58c80.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.865,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Ilia Simakin66c80.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.548072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Ilia Simakin38c80.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7141440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Ilia Simakin59c78.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.641,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ilia Simakin72c78.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.873,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Gabi Boitan24c77.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5639157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Ilia Simakin61c75.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2937547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Gabi Boitan64c72.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.497963.3%50 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Ilia Simakin56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.436663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x308c…74e8backed Ilia Simakin42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.438456%47 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Ilia Simakin59c68.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2769047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Gabi Boitan32c63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010446.2%48 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Gabi Boitan36c62.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2112947.3%61 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Ilia Simakin69c62.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6638033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Gabi Boitan32c61.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6110643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Gabi Boitan41c61.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.037851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a7…90bcbacked Ilia Simakin66c60.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Gabi Boitan54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44870.8%34 W · 14 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Ilia Simakin73c58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Ilia Simakin75c57.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.373574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6acb…e2f7backed Ilia Simakin70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Gabi Boitan35c56.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7660452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ilia Simakin70c53.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9669545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Gabi Boitan29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0882159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Ilia Simakin65c51.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1714156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Gabi Boitan29c49.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4835851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Ilia Simakin53c49.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.076256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Gabi Boitan41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.