Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f69eb6bbda36299e75155c390783003d3bae0e55f66f96ea97874a715270122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astini+5of Astini+5, LiXO eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,151 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked LiXO eSports | 0c | 43,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LiXO eSports | 7c | 4,862$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LiXO eSports | 1c | 3,949$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed LiXO eSports | 6c | 694$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…78fbbacked LiXO eSports | 22c | 628.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed LiXO eSports | 4c | 566.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…5dbdbacked LiXO eSports | 6c | 561$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…b7b2backed LiXO eSports | 6c | 543$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astini+5 | 80c | 447.2$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked LiXO eSports | 8c | 327.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Astini+5 | 79c | 300$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a368backed LiXO eSports | 6c | 283$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked LiXO eSports | 15c | 255.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked LiXO eSports | 21c | 235.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LiXO eSports | 16c | 133.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed LiXO eSports | 19c | 103.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed LiXO eSports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked LiXO eSports | 20c | 69.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LiXO eSports | 20c | 58.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Astini+5 | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Astini+5 | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports - Game 1 WinnerAstini+5 won
- Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports - Game 2 WinnerLiXO eSports won
- Game Handicap: A+5 (-1.5) vs LiXO eSports (+1.5)LiXO eSports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.