NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8bef263e6d7ee58db17825f40c1131a137ca6c01df6780079381e8db2d9817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 3,690$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.72 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 500.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 46c | 490.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 396.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 54c | 315.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 54c | 285.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 62c | 275.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 55c | 218$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 183.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 52c | 177.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 160.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 133.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 46c | 132.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 84.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…96dfbacked Over | 48c | 84.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 44c | 49.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 36.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 47c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…18e6backed Over | 61c | 19.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. SabresPanthers won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.