NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2da1cb44f690549fd1a89a5dccdc1fd13bbbeef9e6eccb2a6e4ed0ab94f588a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Sabres, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sabres | 31c | 3,663$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Panthers | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers | 71c | 1,084$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Sabres | 32c | 696.71$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sabres | 25c | 440.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 69c | 359.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 67c | 328.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sabres | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 69c | 228.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Sabres | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 71c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Panthers | 68c | 103.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sabres | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Panthers | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Panthers | 68c | 82.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Sabres | 32c | 82.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Sabres | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Panthers | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Sabres | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Sabres | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sabres | 32c | 45.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…2d71backed Panthers | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Panthers | 69c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…fb93backed Panthers | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panthers | 68c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. SabresPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.