Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7da8bea91bf09d87b52e4a7560b76d4f55e4d74a9eeb76ac0b413af094c3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 63c | 41,469$26,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,248.15 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 63c | 26,775$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 17,971$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,521.7 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0359backed MOUZ | 1c | 12,881$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed MOUZ | 69c | 9,997$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,884.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 9,920$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 7,428$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.72 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 7,364$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.32 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 6,862$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.09 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…7188backed MOUZ | 0c | 6,028$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 6,005$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.41 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 4,733$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.47 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 4,492$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.92 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked MOUZ | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.98 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,357$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 3,229$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.43 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 3,203$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.57 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 3,164$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.32 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 3,155$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.49 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,977$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 2,726$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.01 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,680$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.59 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 2,663$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.49 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 2,395$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 2,239$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.48 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.33 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,995$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,870$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.87 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,745$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.25 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,320$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.97 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,274$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.66 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 1,261$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.98 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,211$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.52 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…5088backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,152$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked MOUZ | 7c | 1,146$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…b857backed MOUZ | 2c | 1,127$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers | 59c | 1,088$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 878.5$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 868.42$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 811$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked MOUZ | 64c | 811$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed MOUZ | 59c | 736.34$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.85 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 734.8$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed MOUZ | 62c | 700$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.54 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 696.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.48 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked MOUZ | 65c | 695.21$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.48 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 676.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.22 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 670$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked MOUZ | 61c | 644.04$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakult Brothers | 24c | 639.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 59c | 619.7$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 55c | 587.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked MOUZ | 65c | 585.16$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked MOUZ | 65c | 563.78$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 538.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 522.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed MOUZ | 65c | 513.11$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked MOUZ | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 480$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed MOUZ | 54c | 480$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 453.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed MOUZ | 64c | 437.77$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.67 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 431.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.04 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 400$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 370.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 362.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.26 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 357.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 63c | 346.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked MOUZ | 64c | 344.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 68c | 322.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.55 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ | 59c | 322.17$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked MOUZ | 65c | 321.47$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed MOUZ | 63c | 315.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked MOUZ | 65c | 304.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 298.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 290.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 280.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 274.63$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed MOUZ | 37c | 269.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed MOUZ | 60c | 264$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 264$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 64c | 248.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 243.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 55c | 243$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked MOUZ | 16c | 243$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 237.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ | 64c | 233.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 230.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 221.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed MOUZ | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MOUZ | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed MOUZ | 65c | 188.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 172.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 58c | 172.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked MOUZ | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.