Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4a4a607b2b9207dea8f583c156a32192de7a73364033c80242d5194ff4513b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,439 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2a…243ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed MOUZ | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,761$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 1,746$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 993.66$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed MOUZ | 60c | 867.22$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 784.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.56 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 590.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.32 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…265ebacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 582$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a16…2b54backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 577$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…342fbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 576$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…b4d4backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 574$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…47ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 560$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 518.25$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 497.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.07 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 483.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 360.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 345.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 336.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…ace8backed MOUZ | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…edcebacked MOUZ | 65c | 305$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…bcf3backed MOUZ | 65c | 302$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…1da2backed MOUZ | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…7f12backed MOUZ | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed MOUZ | 35c | 286.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked MOUZ | 35c | 286.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Yakult Brothers | 71c | 280.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ac1fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 280$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…6e72backed MOUZ | 65c | 276$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…596fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 272$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 267.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 266.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…a6b3backed MOUZ | 65c | 264$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed MOUZ | 33c | 262.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…10e4backed MOUZ | 65c | 260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 64c | 250.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed MOUZ | 41c | 246.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MOUZ | 39c | 177.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 162.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed MOUZ | 52c | 160.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 153.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 147.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 68c | 139.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 49c | 127.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked MOUZ | 41c | 121.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 119.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked MOUZ | 61c | 117.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 116.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 110.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 58c | 110.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 105.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed MOUZ | 61c | 104.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 100.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed MOUZ | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed MOUZ | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 95.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked MOUZ | 35c | 85.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MOUZ | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed MOUZ | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…0049backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad3…1ff5backed Yakult Brothers | 61c | 35.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 34.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked MOUZ | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Yakult Brothers | 72c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked MOUZ | 61c | 28.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 55c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…29bbbacked MOUZ | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 24.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed MOUZ | 62c | 24.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…0e11backed MOUZ | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed MOUZ | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked MOUZ | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…5c1ebacked MOUZ | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…4c65backed MOUZ | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…9a9abacked MOUZ | 60c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked MOUZ | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.