Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf7e4c0c54bc05c75d1dc7b88b4c986a02c65138d486cdc8e25325d548d0d2f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed MOUZ | 67c | 55,126$36,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,881.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 41,935$13,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,105.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 64c | 20,360$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 14,226$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,302.98 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 6,120$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.72 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 5,960$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 5,000$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.91 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 4,756$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.37 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed MOUZ | 1c | 4,620$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 3,749$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.18 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 3,587$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.23 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,455$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.55 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,362$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 846.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.41 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 752.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.31 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 726.39$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.27 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 6c | 707.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 614$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.82 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 65c | 582.35$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.35 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 580.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ | 55c | 446.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.41 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 59c | 421.73$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 418.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.45 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 69c | 418.38$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 61c | 417.38$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 62c | 401.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 359.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 64c | 277.78$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 227.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yakult Brothers | 30c | 219.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 33c | 208.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked MOUZ | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ | 65c | 184.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 171.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked MOUZ | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed MOUZ | 63c | 167.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 166.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked MOUZ | 65c | 154.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 147.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 45c | 142.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 60c | 119.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 106.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed MOUZ | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed MOUZ | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed MOUZ | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 59c | 98.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 98.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 88.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…2281backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked MOUZ | 64c | 83.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 63c | 78.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yakult Brothers | 70c | 77.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 73.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…97f7backed MOUZ | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 72.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 66c | 68.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked MOUZ | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 59.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 48.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ | 56c | 47.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed MOUZ | 56c | 46.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 44.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 62c | 42.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…748ebacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 42.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked MOUZ | 70c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 72c | 38.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed MOUZ | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 32.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…9f0abacked MOUZ | 69c | 29.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed MOUZ | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…60c4backed MOUZ | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed MOUZ | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed MOUZ | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.