La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d74abd2a7b3506932b870a2fe7b156435a87db8571a20dc3ad7f92e9c8f25a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 7,244$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 12c | 4,999$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 70c | 3,510$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 32c | 2,180$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…a641backed Over | 25c | 1,510$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 1,308$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.39 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 68c | 1,078$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.92 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 68c | 859.26$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 733.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 31c | 500.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.54 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 33c | 457.88$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 30c | 416.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.1 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 40c | 340$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Under | 66c | 272.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 67c | 230$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 70c | 213.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 27c | 204.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 23c | 189.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 25c | 179.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 174.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 67c | 156.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 34c | 147.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 67c | 127.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 33c | 120.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Over | 32c | 103.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 30c | 101.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 32c | 95.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 91.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 76.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 195 | 44.1%86 W · 109 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…fffebacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 30c | 60.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad60…8afebacked Over | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 77c | 48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4724…5239backed Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 68c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…8cc2backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 43c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 25.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 68c | 24.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…3a00backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 70c | 17.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 71c | 15.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.