TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MOUZ NXT (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof fnatic, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,311 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x883a…73b0backed fnatic48c2,497$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.411054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT47c1,986$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.356,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ NXT44c1,814$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.8384454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT40c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ NXT57c1,661$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.444957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed fnatic60c1,600$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.8952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked fnatic56c1,527$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.844645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked fnatic1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed MOUZ NXT54c1,460$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.9480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b1a…c345backed fnatic51c1,268$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.641520%3 W · 12 L-5.0wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed MOUZ NXT22c1,114$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.2535033.4%117 W · 233 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ NXT40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60043640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed fnatic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed fnatic55c905.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed fnatic74c815.36$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed fnatic75c803.49$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed fnatic1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104010%4 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked fnatic56c702.29$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ NXT57c691.97$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2603…90b3backed MOUZ NXT45c666$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.34131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed MOUZ NXT39c647.75$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.5411637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed fnatic44c625$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed MOUZ NXT20c537.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9258651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed MOUZ NXT40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed fnatic59c425.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT68c421.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.862,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT41c419.06$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed fnatic75c396.21$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.542263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked MOUZ NXT52c387.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2614555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT44c362.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed fnatic32c337.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.582540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed MOUZ NXT59c333.66$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4417949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT36c330.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.077,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked fnatic48c315.84$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1321737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed MOUZ NXT52c289.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1998856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed MOUZ NXT65c289$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9924747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ NXT60c274$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9754346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked fnatic78c270$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic15c267.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.114,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked fnatic39c255.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed fnatic40c250.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0769635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked MOUZ NXT48c231.14$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9222444.6%100 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281d…6adfbacked fnatic60c231$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed MOUZ NXT44c218.92$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6350340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed fnatic48c207.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed fnatic53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10618342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed fnatic33c173$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6913950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed fnatic55c162.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909257.6%53 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed fnatic60c156.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked MOUZ NXT63c156$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0721536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked fnatic60c151$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.622542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ NXT64c145$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.649745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT73c144$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed fnatic9c136.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked fnatic51c96.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9810949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed fnatic56c90.93$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9233960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacda…6f11backed MOUZ NXT55c90.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed fnatic51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.96134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed fnatic44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6452755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed fnatic53c89.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3733950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed MOUZ NXT70c87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.179951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed fnatic55c82.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2222551.1%115 W · 110 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed MOUZ NXT40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic54c79.79$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.711,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic52c74.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked fnatic46c72.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.158248.8%40 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed fnatic54c71.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7311230.4%34 W · 78 L-16.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked MOUZ NXT26c70.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2340652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed MOUZ NXT30c70.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9922324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed fnatic64c67.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ NXT72c63.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed MOUZ NXT51c58.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.684856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed fnatic56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed MOUZ NXT45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.516345.4%74 W · 89 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0414…b0fcbacked fnatic60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed MOUZ NXT48c47.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8218530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked MOUZ NXT43c44.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2931440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…6d93backed fnatic52c41.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed MOUZ NXT36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6732443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe140…949fbacked fnatic60c41.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756245.2%28 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed MOUZ NXT53c40.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8947053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked fnatic53c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8646447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked MOUZ NXT54c38.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.678653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9754…fb93backed MOUZ NXT54c37.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3912045%54 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…d073backed MOUZ NXT55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…8afebacked MOUZ NXT49c35.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.976233.9%21 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed fnatic59c34.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed fnatic54c30.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed fnatic53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.929153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed MOUZ NXT39c28.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.19537.9%36 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed fnatic51c27.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2513436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed fnatic68c20.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.834055%22 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3d…63f0backed fnatic56c19.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.